COVID-19 Data Analysis: Percent Of Deaths Analysis Two – 06-14-2020

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A COVID-19 data analysis to determine if the pandemic is changing to the better or worsening over time need a valid assessment approach and good data.

A previous post, Coronavirus Data: Percent Of Deaths Data Analysis – Data Source:

  • Included several reasons why a COVID-19 pandemic analyses of the number of deaths and new cases can deceive.
  • Proposed analyzing the percentage of pneumonia, influenza or COVID-19 deaths to total deaths over time to assess whether there is an increase, stability, or decrease in the pandemic intensity over time.
  • Illustrated why this suggested percentage weekly Centers for Disease Control (CDC) COVID-19 published report analysis should exclude the last two weeks’ datum points.

Source of Data for 6-14-2020 COVID-19 Data Analysis

Data for this analysis is from a weekly Centers for Disease Control (CDC) COVID-19 published report shown below.

My weekending 6-14-2020 analysis was conducted immediately after the report’s 7-2-2020 reporting date.

Further CDC analyses and the raw data for conducting this analysis is available from https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/covidview/07032020/nchs-mortality-report.html.

The data in the following table is from this report.

COVID-19 Data Analysis 6-14-2020 Data

 

COVID-19 Data Analysis for Week Ending 6-14-2020

An analysis of this COVID-19 CDC data up to week ending 6/14/2020 yielded the following figure:

 

COVID-19 Data Analysis weekending 6-14-2020 plot

 

This plot indicates that the COVID-19 pandemic impact measurement is lessening during this time period, which is good news. However, the time frame for this analysis does not possibly reflect the total impact of “opening” facilities in early June, which might negatively impact this COVID-19 percentile decrease trend.

To address this question and other COVID-19 information changes, I will be conducting similar analyses when new data becomes available.

For updates to this COVID-19 data analysis and my other COVID-19 analyses, see https://www.smartersolutions.com/covid-19-analyses.html.

It should be noted that the above COVID-19 measurement analysis does not address seasonal differences. Pneumonia and influenza deaths are historically higher in the winter months, which this analysis does not address.  However, the impact from seasonal differences are small when compared to current COVID-19 numbers.

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