Coronavirus Data Analysis: Percent of Deaths Analysis One – 05-24-2020

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A coronavirus data analysis to determine if the pandemic is changing to the better or worsening over time needs to have a valid assessment approach and good data.

A previous post, Coronavirus Data: Percent Of Deaths Data Analysis – Data Source:

  • Provided several reasons why a coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic analyses of the number of deaths and new cases can deceive.
  • Suggested analyzing the percentage of pneumonia, influenza or coronavirus deaths to total deaths over time to assess whether the pandemic is increasing, stable, or decreasing over time.
  • Illustrated why this suggested percentage weekly Centers for Disease Control (CDC) coronavirus published report analysis should exclude the last two datum points.

Source of Data for Coronavirus Data Analysis

Data for this analysis is from a weekly Centers for Disease Control (CDC) coronavirus published report shown below.

My weekending 5-24-2020 analysis was conducted immediately after the report’s 6-12-2020 reporting date.

Further CDC analyses and the raw data for conducting this analysis is available from https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/covidview/06122020/nchs-mortality-report.html.

The data in the following table is from this report.

Coronavirus Data Analysis: Percent of Deaths Analysis One – 05-24-2020 data

 

 

Coronavirus Data Analysis

An analysis of this coronavirus CDC data up to week ending 5/24/2020 yielded

 

Coronavirus Data Analysis: Percent of Deaths Analysis One – 05-24-2020 plot

 

This plot indicates that the coronavirus pandemic impact is lessening during this time period, which is good news. However, the time frame for this analysis does not reflect the “opening of” facilities in early June, which might impact this coronavirus percentile decrease trend. To address this question and other coronavirus information changes, I will be conducting similar analyses when new data becomes available.

For updates to this coronavirus data analysis and my other coronavirus analyses, see https://www.smartersolutions.com/covid-19-analyses.html.

It should be noted that the above coronavirus measurement analysis does not address seasonal differences. Pneumonia and influenza deaths are historically higher in the winter months, which this analysis does not address.  However, the impact from seasonal differences are small when compared to current coronavirus numbers.

BTW, in this CDC reporting June 12, 2020 time frame, a neighbor and good friend’s husband tested positive for COVID-19 and died within a week. He was in an assisted living facility and having health issues.  I would think that his death would be reported as a corona virus death statistic in my next analysis.

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